Thursday, August 11, 2005

Iran's nuclear program

Iran wants nuclear power. Does that make them dangerous? America has nuclear power, and America is the only nation to ever use nuclear weapons on another nation (60 years ago this week). And America has the world's largest collection of nuclear weapons, so nobody dares oppose them. And America just invaded Iraq, even though Iraq had zero weapons of mass destruction. So maybe nuclear power does make a nation dangerous. But how can we be sure in a particular case?

Let 's talk causality. What objective evidence do we have that nation A is likely to do bad stuff to nation B? Obviously we have none - bad stuff is always planned in secret. All we have is judgment based on imperfect evidence. So how do we improve our national judgment? Answer: by letting citizens choose their own government.
  1. We would quickly see how many people REALLY think that nation A is a threat.
  2. People would think more seriously, knowing that their opinions would be acted on. (In contrast, in a nation of numerous conflicting opinions, it doesn't matter much what each person thinks.)
  3. If they decided to act, they would see the results of their own opinions.
  4. Others have more examples to learn from.
So land rent improves our decision making. Don't you think we should make better decisions?

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